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Pop hit prediction algorithm mines 50 years of chart-toppers for data

Machine-learning engineers from the University of Bristol think they might have the master equation to predicting the popularity of a song.

The so-called Hit Potential Equation looks a little something like this:

Score = (w1 x f1) + (w2 x f2) + (w3 x f3) + (w4 x f4), etc.

Simple, right? The “w”s are “weights,” or musical features like tempo, time signature, song duration, loudness and how energetic it is. By using a machine-learning algorithm, the team could mine official U.K. top-40 singles charts over the past 50 years to see how important these 23 features are to producing a hit song. via Wired

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